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Productivity growth in the South African soybean industry : 2001-2021

Thesis (MAgric)--Stellenbosch University, 2023.

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Main Author: Van der Linde, Karen
Other Authors: Punt, Cecilia
Format: Thesis
Language:en_ZA
Published: Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University 2023
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access_status_str Open Access
author Van der Linde, Karen
author2 Punt, Cecilia
author_browse Punt, Cecilia
Van der Linde, Karen
author_facet Punt, Cecilia
Van der Linde, Karen
author_sort Van der Linde, Karen
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv Stellenbosch University
description Thesis (MAgric)--Stellenbosch University, 2023.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/127262
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language en_ZA
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:43:14.822Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
publishDateSort 2023
publisher Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
publisherStr Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
record_format dspace
source_str SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/127262 Productivity growth in the South African soybean industry : 2001-2021 Van der Linde, Karen Punt, Cecilia Kirsten, Johann Stellenbosch University. Faculty of AgriSciences. Dept. of Agricultural Economics. Soybean industry -- South Africa Agriculture -- Economic aspects -- South Africa Agricultural production economics -- South Africa Soybean productivity growth -- South Africa UCTD Thesis (MAgric)--Stellenbosch University, 2023. ENGLISH SUMMARY: In the last two decades (2001-2021), the scale of soybean production in South Africa has expanded significantly, becoming one of the country’s “biggest agricultural and agro-processing success stories” (BFAP, 2021a). Although a number of studies have commented on the successful expansion of domestic soybean production, relatively few studies have focused on, or aimed to quantify, the extent and drivers of this growth, as well as the degree to which productivity growth encouraged further expansion of the industry. As a result, this study aimed to gain a better understanding of the relationship between productivity and production growth, as well as the drivers of said growth, by measuring and analysing productivity growth in the domestic soybean industry between 2001-2021. Using secondary data obtained from, amongst others, Grain SA, the Protein Research Foundation (PRF) and the Abstract of Agricultural Statistics, the study employed a combination of quantitative and qualitative analysis to test the following three hypotheses. Firstly, it is expected that the domestic soybean sector experienced productivity growth throughout the period under review largely due to technical progress. Secondly, a positive relationship exists between productivity growth in one season, and the expansion of the total area planted to soybeans in the next season. Thirdly, growth in the domestic soybean sector were driven by factors such as the commercialisation and use of genetically modified cultivars, increased awareness of the benefits of planting soybeans in rotation with maize, and the investment in the country’s crushing capacity. The constructed total factor productivity (TFP) index indicates that, on average, TFP increased with roughly 16% between 2001-2021, suggesting that technological progress played a role in the successful expansion of the domestic soybean industry. This progress most likely encompasses factors such as research and development, the implementation of improved farming methods (such as no to minimum tilling practices and crop rotation systems), and the adoption of improved varietals and GMO cultivars. The study also found seasonal rainfall to be an important determinant of productivity and production growth; and that, in the short-run, no real statistically significant relationship existed between productivity growth and area expansion. In terms of the determinants of TFP growth, the regression analysis found that the use of pesticides and herbicides, labour, and rainfall had a positive impact on TFP; whereas seed, fuel, crop insurance, and other costs had a negative impact. Furthermore, the hypothesis regarding the specific drivers of growth, was to an extent, confirmed by the qualitative analysis. AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die skaal van sojaboon produksie in Suid-Afrika het gedurende die laaste twee dekades (2001-2021) aansienlik toegeneem, soveel so, dat die sektor beskou word as een van Suid-Afrikaanse landbou se grootste suksesverhale (BFAP, 2021a). Alhoewel heelwat studies kommentaar lewer oor die suksesvolle uitbreiding en groei van sojaboon produksie in Suid-Afrika, skenk relatief min studies aandag aan die omvang en drywers van produktiwiteitsgroei, en of die groei lei tot ʼn styging in produksie. Gevolglik poog die studie om meer insig te verskaf oor die verwantskap tussen produktiwiteits- en produksie-groei, asook die drywers van die groei, deur produktiwiteitsgroei in die Suid-Afrikaanse sojaboon industrie tussen 2001-2021 te meet en te analiseer. Deur die gebruik van sekondere data – verkry van Graan SA, die Proteïennavorsingstigting (PNS) en die Kortbegrip van Landboustatistiek onder andere – saam met ʼn kombinasie van kwalitatiewe en kwantitatiewe analise, het die studie gepoog om drie hipoteses te toets naamlik: i) die Suid-Afrikaanse sojaboon industrie het deurgaans in die ondersoekte tydperk produktiwiteitsgroei ervaar, grotendeels as gevolg van tegniese vooruitgang; ii) ‘n positiewe verwantskap bestaan tussen produktiwiteitsgroei in een periode en die uitbreiding van die totale oppervlak geplant tot sojabone in die volgende periode ; iii) groei in die plaaslike sojaboon industrie was gedryf deur faktore soos die kommersialisering en gebruik van genetiese aangepaste kultivars, groter bewustheid oor sojaboon en mielies gewas-rotasiestelsels en die voordele daarvan, asook grootskaalse investering in die land se soja-verwerkingskapasiteit. Die berekende totale faktor produktiwiteit (TFP) indeks dui daarop dat tussen 2001-2021 die TFP oor die algemeen met 16% toegeneem het, wat voorstel dat tegniese vooruitgang ʼn rol speel in die suksesvolle uitbreiding van die plaaslike sojaboon industrie. Hierdie vooruitgang verteenwoordig waarskynlik faktore soos navorsing en ontwikkeling, verbeterde verbouingspraktyke (soos gewas-rotasiestelsels en geen- of minimale bewerkingspraktyke), en die gebruik van meer geskikte of verbeterde kultivars. Die studie het ook bevind dat seisoenale reenval ʼn bepalende rol speel in beide produksie- en produktiwiteitsgroei; en dat daar in die korttermyn geen statistiese noemenswaardige verhouding tussen produktiwiteitsgroei en oppervlak geplant bestaan nie. In terme van die bepalers van TFP groei, het die regressie analise bevind dat die gebruik van onkruid- en insekdoders, arbeid en reenval ʼn positiewe impak op TFP groei het; terwyl saad, brandstof, oesversekering en ander koste ʼn negatiewe impak gehad het. Verder is die hipotese rakende die drywers van groei tot ʼn sekere mate deur die kwalitatiewe analise bevestig. Masters 2023-03-06T10:45:57Z 2023-05-18T07:12:40Z 2023-03-06T10:45:57Z 2023-05-18T07:12:40Z 2023-03 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/127262 en_ZA Stellenbosch University xv, 113 pages : illustrations (some color), includes annexures application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
spellingShingle Soybean industry -- South Africa
Agriculture -- Economic aspects -- South Africa
Agricultural production economics -- South Africa
Soybean productivity growth -- South Africa
UCTD
Van der Linde, Karen
Productivity growth in the South African soybean industry : 2001-2021
title Productivity growth in the South African soybean industry : 2001-2021
title_full Productivity growth in the South African soybean industry : 2001-2021
title_fullStr Productivity growth in the South African soybean industry : 2001-2021
title_full_unstemmed Productivity growth in the South African soybean industry : 2001-2021
title_short Productivity growth in the South African soybean industry : 2001-2021
title_sort productivity growth in the south african soybean industry 2001 2021
topic Soybean industry -- South Africa
Agriculture -- Economic aspects -- South Africa
Agricultural production economics -- South Africa
Soybean productivity growth -- South Africa
UCTD
url http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/127262
work_keys_str_mv AT vanderlindekaren productivitygrowthinthesouthafricansoybeanindustry20012021