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Resources and regional stability: the rise and decline of hydro-hegemonic powers in the Nile River Basin

Thesis (MA)--Stellenbosch University, 2024.

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Main Author: Elijah, Sachin
Other Authors: Lambrechts, Derica
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University 2025
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access_status_str Open Access
author Elijah, Sachin
author2 Lambrechts, Derica
author_browse Elijah, Sachin
Lambrechts, Derica
author_facet Lambrechts, Derica
Elijah, Sachin
author_sort Elijah, Sachin
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv Stellenbosch University
description Thesis (MA)--Stellenbosch University, 2024.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/131651
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:43:24.214Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
publisherStr Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
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spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/131651 Resources and regional stability: the rise and decline of hydro-hegemonic powers in the Nile River Basin Elijah, Sachin Lambrechts, Derica Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences. Dept. of Political Science. Water boundaries Nile River Water-shed -- Water rights (International law) Water security Egypt -- Relations -- Nile River Valley Regionalism -- Africa Water-supply -- Political aspects -- Nile River Watershed Horn of Africa -- Water resources development -- Political aspects Climatic changes Grand Ethopian Renaissance Dam Nile River Valley -- Relations -- Egypt UCTD Thesis (MA)--Stellenbosch University, 2024. ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The Horn of Africa has been characterised as a region marked by persistent conflicts and is at constant risk of instability. The water within the Nile has been a point of contention among the states that use it. Until recently Egypt and Sudan have been able to use most of the Nile’s water due to various historical factors. Ethiopia has recently been challenging Egypt and Sudan’s control of the Nile River Basin through the implementation of their Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). This leads to this study’s main research question: To what extent has hydro-hegemonic power shifted in the NRB, if at all, and is there a current hydro-hegemon? Building large hydraulic infrastructure that can supply renewable energy to multiple states in the region has not fostered cooperation. Disagreements and rising tensions between Sudan and Egypt have resulted in increased instability in the region. This region is also expected to be affected negatively by climate change-induced water variability, a factor that could further destabilise the region. The Nile River Basin is a well-researched topic for multiple academic disciplines. This study addresses the basin by analysing the current geopolitical situation through the hydro-hegemony framework. The framework has been used in previous research; however, significant changes in the basin means applying it to the modern context is needed. Additionally, this study expanded upon the hydro-hegemony theory by including climate change-induced water variability as a variable. This study found that Ethiopia’s rise has challenged Egyptian hydro-hegemony but has not supplanted it. Ethiopia achieved this through a mixture of water resource control strategies and tactics, specifically the use of foreign financial assistance and knowledge construction and sanctioned discourse. This has placed the region in a state of volatility as there is no clear dominant regional power and no basin-wide water sharing agreement. Global hegemonic powers that are invested in the region’s stability, such as the USA and China, have not stepped in to force an agreement among the Nile states on how to use the Nile’s waters. The study argues that the current geopolitical situation will continue to be volatile until a clear hydro-hegemon becomes apparent and that this situation could be exacerbated by expected climate change-induced water variability. AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Geen Afrikaanse opsomming beskikbaar nie. Masters 2025-02-04T05:55:14Z 2025-02-04T05:55:14Z 2024-12 Thesis https://scholar.sun.ac.za/handle/10019.1/131651 en Stellenbosch University 120 pages : illustrations application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
spellingShingle Water boundaries
Nile River Water-shed -- Water rights (International law)
Water security
Egypt -- Relations -- Nile River Valley
Regionalism -- Africa
Water-supply -- Political aspects -- Nile River Watershed
Horn of Africa -- Water resources development -- Political aspects
Climatic changes
Grand Ethopian Renaissance Dam
Nile River Valley -- Relations -- Egypt
UCTD
Elijah, Sachin
Resources and regional stability: the rise and decline of hydro-hegemonic powers in the Nile River Basin
title Resources and regional stability: the rise and decline of hydro-hegemonic powers in the Nile River Basin
title_full Resources and regional stability: the rise and decline of hydro-hegemonic powers in the Nile River Basin
title_fullStr Resources and regional stability: the rise and decline of hydro-hegemonic powers in the Nile River Basin
title_full_unstemmed Resources and regional stability: the rise and decline of hydro-hegemonic powers in the Nile River Basin
title_short Resources and regional stability: the rise and decline of hydro-hegemonic powers in the Nile River Basin
title_sort resources and regional stability the rise and decline of hydro hegemonic powers in the nile river basin
topic Water boundaries
Nile River Water-shed -- Water rights (International law)
Water security
Egypt -- Relations -- Nile River Valley
Regionalism -- Africa
Water-supply -- Political aspects -- Nile River Watershed
Horn of Africa -- Water resources development -- Political aspects
Climatic changes
Grand Ethopian Renaissance Dam
Nile River Valley -- Relations -- Egypt
UCTD
url https://scholar.sun.ac.za/handle/10019.1/131651
work_keys_str_mv AT elijahsachin resourcesandregionalstabilitytheriseanddeclineofhydrohegemonicpowersinthenileriverbasin