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Impact of Namibia’s community-based natural resource management strategy on elephant conservation : evidence from time series analysis
Thesis (MScAgric) --Stellenbosch University, 2025.
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Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
2025
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| _version_ | 1867613946543865856 |
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| access_status_str | Open Access |
| author | Guest, Matthew Daniel |
| author2 | Mungatana, Eric Dada |
| author_browse | Guest, Matthew Daniel Mungatana, Eric Dada |
| author_facet | Mungatana, Eric Dada Guest, Matthew Daniel |
| author_sort | Guest, Matthew Daniel |
| collection | Thesis |
| dc_rights_str_mv | Stellenbosch University |
| description |
Thesis (MScAgric) --Stellenbosch University, 2025. |
| format | Thesis |
| id | oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/132394 |
| institution | Stellenbosch University (South Africa) |
| last_indexed | 2026-06-10T12:44:13.588Z |
| license_str | Other — see source repository |
| provenance_str_mv | Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University |
| publisherStr | Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University |
| record_format | dspace |
| source_str | SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository |
| spelling | oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/132394 Impact of Namibia’s community-based natural resource management strategy on elephant conservation : evidence from time series analysis Guest, Matthew Daniel Mungatana, Eric Dada Stellenbosch University. Faculty of AgriSciences. Dept. of Agricultural Economics. Environmental policy -- Namibia Sustainable development -- Namibia Elephant -- Conservation -- Namibia Community-based conservation -- Namibia Natural resources -- Management -- Namibia UCTD Thesis (MScAgric) --Stellenbosch University, 2025. Guest, M. D. 2025. Impact of Namibia’s Community-Based Natural Resource Management Strategy on Elephant Conservation: Evidence From Time Series Analysis. Unpublished masters thesis. Stellenbosch: Stellenbosch University [online]. Available: https://scholar.sun.ac.za/items/8704b789-73ba-4858-9cf3-9afafbae8b7d ENGLISH SUMMARY: Inspired by recent academic debates on the effectiveness of Community-Based Natural Resource Management Programmes (CBNRM), this research investigates whether CBNRM has successfully contributed to the conservation of African savannah elephants in Namibia. While Cruise and Sasada (2021) criticise its efficacy, several stakeholders cite its perceived success as justification for controversial ecologic-economic decisions, such as bypassing CITES regulations by exporting 42 elephants in 2021 and 22 elephants in 2022; maintaining an annual trophy-hunting quota for elephants; and the culling of 83 elephants during a 2024 drought with redistribution of the meat to communities who compete for scarce resources with elephants. Despite these debates, no research has quantitatively assessed the impact of Namibia’s CBNRM strategy on elephant populations. This study addresses this gap by employing static time series regression analysis using elephant population data obtained from Martin (2005); MEFT (2020); NACSO (2003); and Sanerib et al. (2022), spanning 1951 to 2016. Following degrees of freedom limitations, the study additionally uses several data interpolation methods to assess the robustness of the conclusions it draws on the CBNRM coefficient. The findings suggest that Namibia’s CBNRM has had a positive impact on elephant populations, consistent across the different data interpolations, with significant implications for guiding policy decisions on the conservation, culling, and export of elephants in Namibia. Additionally, the findings offer valuable insights into how CBNRM can contribute to sustainable development through the attainment of both global social and environmental targets, such as the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) targets. AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Geen opsomming beskikbaar. Masters 2025-06-05T14:20:31Z 2025-06-05T14:20:31Z 2025-03 Thesis https://scholar.sun.ac.za/handle/10019.1/132394 Stellenbosch University vi, 39 pages : illustrations application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University |
| spellingShingle | Environmental policy -- Namibia Sustainable development -- Namibia Elephant -- Conservation -- Namibia Community-based conservation -- Namibia Natural resources -- Management -- Namibia UCTD Guest, Matthew Daniel Impact of Namibia’s community-based natural resource management strategy on elephant conservation : evidence from time series analysis |
| title | Impact of Namibia’s community-based natural resource management strategy on elephant conservation : evidence from time series analysis |
| title_full | Impact of Namibia’s community-based natural resource management strategy on elephant conservation : evidence from time series analysis |
| title_fullStr | Impact of Namibia’s community-based natural resource management strategy on elephant conservation : evidence from time series analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact of Namibia’s community-based natural resource management strategy on elephant conservation : evidence from time series analysis |
| title_short | Impact of Namibia’s community-based natural resource management strategy on elephant conservation : evidence from time series analysis |
| title_sort | impact of namibia s community based natural resource management strategy on elephant conservation evidence from time series analysis |
| topic | Environmental policy -- Namibia Sustainable development -- Namibia Elephant -- Conservation -- Namibia Community-based conservation -- Namibia Natural resources -- Management -- Namibia UCTD |
| url | https://scholar.sun.ac.za/handle/10019.1/132394 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT guestmatthewdaniel impactofnamibiascommunitybasednaturalresourcemanagementstrategyonelephantconservationevidencefromtimeseriesanalysis |