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Machine Learning–Based Detection of Network Failures in Core Network Cellular Data

Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2026.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Fita, Gospel Antonio
Other Authors: Wolhuter, Riaan
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University 2026
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access_status_str Open Access
author Fita, Gospel Antonio
author2 Wolhuter, Riaan
author_browse Fita, Gospel Antonio
Wolhuter, Riaan
author_facet Wolhuter, Riaan
Fita, Gospel Antonio
author_sort Fita, Gospel Antonio
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv Stellenbosch University
description Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2026.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/135986
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:44:48.111Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2026
publishDateRange 2026
publishDateSort 2026
publisher Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
publisherStr Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
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source_str SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/135986 Machine Learning–Based Detection of Network Failures in Core Network Cellular Data Fita, Gospel Antonio Wolhuter, Riaan Niesler, Thomas Du Toit, Jaco Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Engineering. Dept. of Electrical and Electronic Engineering. Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2026. Fita, G. A. 2026. Machine Learning–Based Detection of Network Failures in Core Network Cellular Data. Unpublished masters thesis. Stellenbosch: Stellenbosch University [online]. Available: https://scholar.sun.ac.za/items/a16b1831-d039-44cc-9776-0b2b624e042f The increasing complexity of mobile networks and the large volume of traffic data generated by multiple network elements make it difficult for Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) to accurately identify operational irregularities and reliably distinguish true network failures from normal network traffic. This study analyses mobile network traffic volume across four major geographical regions of South Africa—Johannesburg, Cape Town, Pretoria, and Durban—using multivariate time series data obtained from the core network of a MNO. The research proposes a systematic methodology for data filtering, including the identification and removal of time intervals characterised by unusually low traffic volumes, as well as the ap-plication of statistical anomaly detection techniques to remove abnormal traffic fluctuations. Both offline and online learning approaches are investigated for network traffic volume prediction and network failure classification. These predictive modelling are leveraged to reconstruct normal operational traffic patterns. For offline traffic volume prediction, three models are evaluated: Linear Regression, Random Forest Regressor, and Feed-forward Neural Networks. The Online prediction is performed using a Linear Regression model. Experimental results for the offline approach indicate that the Random Forest Regressor consistently outperforms the other models across the datasets for all four geographical regions. Furthermore, offline and online classification models are applied to distinguish between network failures and normal traffic conditions. The results demonstrate that the offline classification model achieves substantially better performance than its online counterpart. Masters 2026-04-17T07:45:44Z 2026-04-17T07:45:44Z 2026-03 Thesis https://scholar.sun.ac.za/handle/10019.1/135986 en Stellenbosch University 128 pages : ill. application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
spellingShingle Fita, Gospel Antonio
Machine Learning–Based Detection of Network Failures in Core Network Cellular Data
title Machine Learning–Based Detection of Network Failures in Core Network Cellular Data
title_full Machine Learning–Based Detection of Network Failures in Core Network Cellular Data
title_fullStr Machine Learning–Based Detection of Network Failures in Core Network Cellular Data
title_full_unstemmed Machine Learning–Based Detection of Network Failures in Core Network Cellular Data
title_short Machine Learning–Based Detection of Network Failures in Core Network Cellular Data
title_sort machine learning based detection of network failures in core network cellular data
url https://scholar.sun.ac.za/handle/10019.1/135986
work_keys_str_mv AT fitagospelantonio machinelearningbaseddetectionofnetworkfailuresincorenetworkcellulardata