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A Design Science Research Framework for building Resilience in South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System: an Ultra-Large-Scale Systems perspective

Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2026.

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Main Author: Fogwill, Thomas Anthony
Other Authors: Grobbelaar, Sara
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University 2026
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access_status_str Open Access
author Fogwill, Thomas Anthony
author2 Grobbelaar, Sara
author_browse Fogwill, Thomas Anthony
Grobbelaar, Sara
author_facet Grobbelaar, Sara
Fogwill, Thomas Anthony
author_sort Fogwill, Thomas Anthony
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv Stellenbosch University
description Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2026.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/135990
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:40:53.123Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2026
publishDateRange 2026
publishDateSort 2026
publisher Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
publisherStr Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
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spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/135990 A Design Science Research Framework for building Resilience in South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System: an Ultra-Large-Scale Systems perspective Fogwill, Thomas Anthony Grobbelaar, Sara Botha, Adele Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Engineering. Dept. of Industrial Engineering. Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2026. Fogwill, T. A. 2026. A Design Science Research Framework for building Resilience in South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System: an Ultra-Large-Scale Systems perspective. Unpublished masters thesis. Stellenbosch: Stellenbosch University [online]. Available: https://scholar.sun.ac.za/items/03403131-2bf3-4e1e-9bbf-08b827d56466 South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System (NDHIS) is intended to serve as the backbone for the National Health Insurance (NHI) by enabling patient registration, provider contracting, financing, and performance monitoring. However, persistent fragmentation, legacy systems, provincial disparities, and sociotechnical complexity have created a highly decentralised, continuously evolving ecosystem that exhibits the characteristics of an Ultra-Large-Scale System (ULSS). Conventional design and governance approaches are inadequate for ensuring resilience in such environments. This study adopts a Design Science Research (DSR) methodology to develop and evaluate a resilience framework for the NDHIS from an ULSS perspective. Through scoping reviews of ULSS and resilience literature, contextual policy analysis of South African health reform documents, iterative artefact design, and simulation-based evaluation, the research identifies eight core components of resilience: decentralised governance, adaptive architectures, continuous monitoring and learning, redundancy and modularity, inclusive stakeholder engagement, anticipatory risk management, interoperability-by-design, and evolutionary policy mechanisms. The resulting framework provides actionable design principles and governance guidelines that enable the NDHIS to anticipate, absorb, adapt to, and rapidly recover from technological, organisational, cyber, and crisis-related disruptions while preserving essential functions and equity of access. The study contributes theoretically by integrating ULSS thinking with health systems resilience, methodologically through simulation-based DSR evaluation in a data-constrained context, and practically by offering policymakers and system architects a structured approach to building a robust, future-proof national digital health infrastructure capable of supporting universal health coverage in South Africa. Masters 2026-04-17T08:09:16Z 2026-04-17T08:09:16Z 2026-03 Thesis https://scholar.sun.ac.za/handle/10019.1/135990 en Stellenbosch University 213 pages : ill. application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
spellingShingle Fogwill, Thomas Anthony
A Design Science Research Framework for building Resilience in South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System: an Ultra-Large-Scale Systems perspective
title A Design Science Research Framework for building Resilience in South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System: an Ultra-Large-Scale Systems perspective
title_full A Design Science Research Framework for building Resilience in South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System: an Ultra-Large-Scale Systems perspective
title_fullStr A Design Science Research Framework for building Resilience in South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System: an Ultra-Large-Scale Systems perspective
title_full_unstemmed A Design Science Research Framework for building Resilience in South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System: an Ultra-Large-Scale Systems perspective
title_short A Design Science Research Framework for building Resilience in South Africa’s National Digital Health Information System: an Ultra-Large-Scale Systems perspective
title_sort design science research framework for building resilience in south africa s national digital health information system an ultra large scale systems perspective
url https://scholar.sun.ac.za/handle/10019.1/135990
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