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Model risk for barrier options when priced under different lévy dynamics

Thesis (MSc)--Stellenbosch University, 2011.

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Main Author: Mbakwe, Chidinma
Other Authors: Ouwehand, Peter
Format: Thesis
Language:en_ZA
Published: Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University 2011
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access_status_str Open Access
author Mbakwe, Chidinma
author2 Ouwehand, Peter
author_browse Mbakwe, Chidinma
Ouwehand, Peter
author_facet Ouwehand, Peter
Mbakwe, Chidinma
author_sort Mbakwe, Chidinma
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv Stellenbosch University
description Thesis (MSc)--Stellenbosch University, 2011.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/17810
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language en_ZA
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:44:33.029Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2011
publishDateRange 2011
publishDateSort 2011
publisher Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
publisherStr Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
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source_str SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/17810 Model risk for barrier options when priced under different lévy dynamics Mbakwe, Chidinma Ouwehand, Peter Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Science. Dept. of Mathematical Sciences. Option pricing Levy processes Monte Carlo method Dissertations -- Mathematics Theses -- Mathematics Thesis (MSc)--Stellenbosch University, 2011. ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Barrier options are options whose payoff depends on whether or not the underlying asset price hits a certain level - the barrier - during the life of the option. Closed-form solutions for the prices of these path-dependent options are available in the Black-Scholes framework. It is well{known, however, that the Black-Scholes model does not price even the so-called vanilla options correctly. There are a number of popular asset price models based on exponential Lévy dynamics which are all able to capture the volatility smile, i.e. reproduce market-observed prices of vanilla options. This thesis investigates the potential model risk associated with the pricing of barrier options in several exponential Lévy models. First, the Variance Gamma, Normal Inverse Gaussian and CGMY models are calibrated to market-observed vanilla option prices. Barrier option prices are then evaluated in these models using Monte Carlo methods. The prices obtained are then compared to each other, as well as the Black-Scholes prices. It is observed that the different exponential Lévy models yield barrier option prices which are quite close to each other, though quite different from the Black-Scholes prices. This suggests that the associated model risk is low. AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Versperring opsies is opsies met 'n afbetaling wat afhanklik is daarvan of die onderliggende bateprys 'n bepaalde vlak - die versperring - bereik gedurende die lewe van die opsie, of nie. Formules vir die pryse van sulke opsies is beskikbaar binne die Black-Scholes raamwerk. Dit is egter welbekend dat die Black-Scholes model nie in staat is om selfs die sogenaamde vanilla opsies se pryse korrek te bepaal nie. Daar bestaan 'n aantal populêre bateprysmodelle gebaseer op eksponensiële Lévy-dinamika, wat almal in staat is om die mark-waarneembare vanilla opsie pryse te herproduseer. Hierdie tesis ondersoek die potensiële modelrisiko geassosieer met die prysbepaling van versperring opsies in verskeie eksponseniële Lévy-modelle. Eers word die Variance Gamma{, Normal Inverse Gaussian- en CGMY-modelle gekalibreer op mark-waarneembare vanilla opsiepryse. Die pryse van versperring opsies in hierdie modelle word dan bepaal deur middel van Monte Carlo metodes. Hierdie pryse word dan met mekaar vergelyk, asook met die Black-Scholespryse. Dit word waargeneem dat die versperring opsiepryse in die verskillende eksponensiële Lévymodelle redelik na aan mekaar is, maar redelik verskil van die Black-Scholespryse. Dit suggereer dat die geassosieerde modelrisiko laag is. 2011-08-10T07:06:35Z 2011-12-05T13:00:58Z 2011-08-10T07:06:35Z 2011-12-05T13:00:58Z 2011-12 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/17810 en_ZA Stellenbosch University 104 p. : ill. application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
spellingShingle Option pricing
Levy processes
Monte Carlo method
Dissertations -- Mathematics
Theses -- Mathematics
Mbakwe, Chidinma
Model risk for barrier options when priced under different lévy dynamics
title Model risk for barrier options when priced under different lévy dynamics
title_full Model risk for barrier options when priced under different lévy dynamics
title_fullStr Model risk for barrier options when priced under different lévy dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Model risk for barrier options when priced under different lévy dynamics
title_short Model risk for barrier options when priced under different lévy dynamics
title_sort model risk for barrier options when priced under different levy dynamics
topic Option pricing
Levy processes
Monte Carlo method
Dissertations -- Mathematics
Theses -- Mathematics
url http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/17810
work_keys_str_mv AT mbakwechidinma modelriskforbarrieroptionswhenpricedunderdifferentlevydynamics