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High-resolution climate variable generation for the Western Cape

Thesis (MSc (Geography and Environmental Studies))--University of Stellenbosch, 2007.

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Main Author: Joubert, Sarah Joan
Other Authors: Van Niekerk, Adriaan
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Stellenbosch : University of Stellenbosch 2008
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access_status_str Open Access
author Joubert, Sarah Joan
author2 Van Niekerk, Adriaan
author_browse Joubert, Sarah Joan
Van Niekerk, Adriaan
author_facet Van Niekerk, Adriaan
Joubert, Sarah Joan
author_sort Joubert, Sarah Joan
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv University of Stellenbosch
description Thesis (MSc (Geography and Environmental Studies))--University of Stellenbosch, 2007.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/2452
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:43:34.445Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2008
publishDateRange 2008
publishDateSort 2008
publisher Stellenbosch : University of Stellenbosch
publisherStr Stellenbosch : University of Stellenbosch
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source_str SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/2452 High-resolution climate variable generation for the Western Cape Joubert, Sarah Joan Van Niekerk, Adriaan University of Stellenbosch. Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences. Dept. of Geography and Environmental Studies. Digital elevation models (DEM) Spatial interpolation ANUSPLIN Topographic dependence Thin plate smoothing splines Dissertations -- Geography and environmental studies Theses -- Geography and environmental studies Thesis (MSc (Geography and Environmental Studies))--University of Stellenbosch, 2007. Due to the relative scarcity of weather stations, the climate conditions of large areas are not adequately represented by a weather station. This is especially true for regions with complex topographies or low population densities. Various interpolation techniques and software packages are available with which the climate of such areas can be calculated from surrounding weather stations’ data. This study investigates the possibility of using the software package ANUSPLIN to create accurate climate maps for the Western Cape, South Africa. ANUSPLIN makes use of thin plate smoothing splines and a digital elevation model to convert point data into grid format to represent an area’s climatic conditions. This software has been used successfully throughout the world, therefore a large body of literature is available on the topic, highlighting the limitations and successes of this interpolation method. Various factors have an effect on a region’s climate, the most influential being location (distance from the poles or equator), topography (height above sea level), distance from large water bodies, and other topographical factors such as slope and aspect. Until now latitude, longitude and the elevation of a weather station have most often been used as input variables to create climate grids, but the new version of ANUSPLIN (4.3) makes provision for additional variables. This study investigates the possibility of incorporating the effect of the surrounding oceans and topography (slope and aspect) in the interpolation process in order to create climate grids with a resolution of 90m x 90m. This is done for monthly mean daily maximum and minimum temperature and the mean monthly rainfall for the study area for each month of the year. Not many projects where additional variables have been incorporated in the interpolation process using ANUSPLIN are to be found in the literature, thus further investigation into the correct transformation and the units of these variables had to be done before they could be successfully incorporated. It was found that distance to oceans influences a region’s maximum and minimum temperatures, and to a lesser extent rainfall, while aspect and slope has an influence on a region’s rainfall. In order to assess the accuracy of the interpolation process, two methods were employed, namely statistical values produced during the spline function calculations by ANUSPLIN, and the removal of a selected number of stations in order to compare the interpolated values with the actual measured values. The analysis showed that more accurate maps were obtained when additional variables were incorporated into the interpolation process. Once the best transformations and units were identified for the additional variables, climate maps were produced in order to compare them with existing climate grids available for the study area. In general the temperatures were higher than those of the existing grids. For the rainfall grids ANUSPLIN’s produced higher rainfall values throughout the study region compared to the existing grids, except for the Southwestern Cape where the rainfall values were lower on north-facing slopes and high-lying area Masters 2008-04-15T11:02:15Z 2010-06-01T08:49:06Z 2008-04-15T11:02:15Z 2010-06-01T08:49:06Z 2007-03 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/2452 en University of Stellenbosch 18207143 bytes application/pdf application/pdf Stellenbosch : University of Stellenbosch
spellingShingle Digital elevation models (DEM)
Spatial interpolation
ANUSPLIN
Topographic dependence
Thin plate smoothing splines
Dissertations -- Geography and environmental studies
Theses -- Geography and environmental studies
Joubert, Sarah Joan
High-resolution climate variable generation for the Western Cape
title High-resolution climate variable generation for the Western Cape
title_full High-resolution climate variable generation for the Western Cape
title_fullStr High-resolution climate variable generation for the Western Cape
title_full_unstemmed High-resolution climate variable generation for the Western Cape
title_short High-resolution climate variable generation for the Western Cape
title_sort high resolution climate variable generation for the western cape
topic Digital elevation models (DEM)
Spatial interpolation
ANUSPLIN
Topographic dependence
Thin plate smoothing splines
Dissertations -- Geography and environmental studies
Theses -- Geography and environmental studies
url http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/2452
work_keys_str_mv AT joubertsarahjoan highresolutionclimatevariablegenerationforthewesterncape