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Political risk analysis and economic reform : investing in the Indian electricity sector

Thesis (MA)--Stellenbosch University, 2003.

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Main Author: Duncan, Stewart M.
Other Authors: Kotze, H. J.
Format: Thesis
Language:en_ZA
Published: Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University 2012
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access_status_str Open Access
author Duncan, Stewart M.
author2 Kotze, H. J.
author_browse Duncan, Stewart M.
Kotze, H. J.
author_facet Kotze, H. J.
Duncan, Stewart M.
author_sort Duncan, Stewart M.
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv Stellenbosch University
description Thesis (MA)--Stellenbosch University, 2003.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/49776
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language en_ZA
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:44:48.111Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2012
publishDateRange 2012
publishDateSort 2012
publisher Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
publisherStr Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
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source_str SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/49776 Political risk analysis and economic reform : investing in the Indian electricity sector Duncan, Stewart M. Kotze, H. J. Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences. Dept. of Political Science. Risk assessment -- Political aspects -- India Investments, Foreign -- India Electrification -- India -- Foreign ownership Dissertations -- Political science Theses -- Political science Thesis (MA)--Stellenbosch University, 2003. ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The definition of political risk and the methodology of its assessment have changed since the inception of the discipline midway through the last century. This assignment assesses the usefulness of a new quantitative technique that uses political constraints and the policy preferences of political actors to construct a measure of political risk. Integrating the findings of the resulting Political Constraints Index with an analysis of the political economy of the Indian Electricity Sector, the assignment demonstrates that, contrary to the original interpretations of the index, high levels of political constraints and political competition may propagate a disabling policy regime and be detrimental to the investor, despite the stated commitment of the incumbent government to policy reform. The implication of these findings is that, to avoid incorrect interpretation, the Political Constraint Index should be augmented by a comprehensive qualitative assessment of the industry in question. AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die definisie van politieke risiko en die metodologie om dit te ontleed, het verander sedert die onstaan van hierdie dissipline gedurende die middel van die laaste eeu. Hierdie opdrag ontleed die nuttigheid van 'n nuwe kwantitatiewe tegniek wat die politieke beperkings en beleidsvoorkeure van politieke rolspelers gebruik om 'n maatstaf van politieke risiko te verskaf. Die opdrag se integrasie van die bevindinge van die resulterende Politieke Beperkings Indeks met 'n analise van die politieke ekonomie van die Indiese Elektrisiteits Sektor bewys dat, teenstrydig met oorspronklike interpretasies van die indeks, hoe vlakke van politieke beperkings en politieke kompetisie 'n deaktiveringsbeleid regime kan kweek wat nadelig is vir die belegger, ten spyte van die huidige regering se verklaarde toegewydheid tot beleidshervorming. Die implikasie van hierdie bevindinge is dat, om foutiewe interpretasie te vermy, die Politieke Beperkings Indeks verbeter moet word deur 'n omvattende kwalitatiewe ontleding van die verlangde industrie. Masters 2012-08-27T11:33:05Z 2012-08-27T11:33:05Z 2003-12 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/49776 en_ZA Stellenbosch University 95 p. : ill. application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
spellingShingle Risk assessment -- Political aspects -- India
Investments, Foreign -- India
Electrification -- India -- Foreign ownership
Dissertations -- Political science
Theses -- Political science
Duncan, Stewart M.
Political risk analysis and economic reform : investing in the Indian electricity sector
title Political risk analysis and economic reform : investing in the Indian electricity sector
title_full Political risk analysis and economic reform : investing in the Indian electricity sector
title_fullStr Political risk analysis and economic reform : investing in the Indian electricity sector
title_full_unstemmed Political risk analysis and economic reform : investing in the Indian electricity sector
title_short Political risk analysis and economic reform : investing in the Indian electricity sector
title_sort political risk analysis and economic reform investing in the indian electricity sector
topic Risk assessment -- Political aspects -- India
Investments, Foreign -- India
Electrification -- India -- Foreign ownership
Dissertations -- Political science
Theses -- Political science
url http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/49776
work_keys_str_mv AT duncanstewartm politicalriskanalysisandeconomicreforminvestingintheindianelectricitysector