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Exploring the population and economic growth dynamics in former homeland settlements between 1996 and 2011.

Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2014.

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Main Author: Ngidi, Mawande S. Lindelo
Other Authors: Geyer, Hermanus S.
Format: Thesis
Language:en_ZA
Published: Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University 2015
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access_status_str Open Access
author Ngidi, Mawande S. Lindelo
author2 Geyer, Hermanus S.
author_browse Geyer, Hermanus S.
Ngidi, Mawande S. Lindelo
author_facet Geyer, Hermanus S.
Ngidi, Mawande S. Lindelo
author_sort Ngidi, Mawande S. Lindelo
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv Stellenbosch University
description Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2014.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/95733
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language en_ZA
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:42:49.487Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2015
publishDateRange 2015
publishDateSort 2015
publisher Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
publisherStr Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
record_format dspace
source_str SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/95733 Exploring the population and economic growth dynamics in former homeland settlements between 1996 and 2011. Ngidi, Mawande S. Lindelo Geyer, Hermanus S. Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences. Dept. of Geography & Environmental Studies. Homelands (South Africa) Bantustans -- South Africa Agglomeration -- South Africa Urbanization -- South Africa Subsidies -- Social aspects -- South Africa Economic growth -- Dynamics -- South Africa Spatial -Quantity -- South Africa UCTD Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2014. ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Former homelands were established in order to create separate self-governed states for the black population of South Africa, the epitome of the Apartheid government policy of separate development and social engineering. After 1994 these areas were integrated with the rest of the administrative regions of South Africa. These largely rural areas have developed a variety of settlement types with varying levels of economic agglomeration and population concentration that are still faced with the legacy of unsustainable settlements. These areas mostly characterised with dense rural settlements and traditional land tenure have growing towns where economic activity still does not match the growth in population and are perceived to have struggling economies, high grant dependence and low urbanisation rates. This paper examines the population and economic growth, level of urbanisation and spatial agglomeration within former homelands using the three census years (1996, 2001 and 2011) as well as the proportion of social grant recipients across settlements in order to get a better understanding of the spatial development patterns in these areas. A weighted mean growth was used to determine the relative strength of spatial agglomeration and diffusion patterns and an age cohort analysis was used to indicate population movement. A simple linear regression was used to assess the relationship between population settlement patterns and economic growth on the prevalence of social grant recipients across settlements. The results indicate firstly a growth and increased concentration of population within settlements indicating that natural increase is outpacing the outmigration. Secondly; increased urbanisation and spatial agglomeration within former homeland urban centres is accompanied by a marginal economic growth which conforms to theoretical predictions. However, the economic growth in former homelands is happening at a slower pace than in the rest of South Africa. Thirdly, although having a higher proportion of grant recipients compared to the rest of South Africa, there is a negative correlation between the proportions of social grant recipients and spatial agglomeration. This indicates that the proportion of grant recipients are declining as economic activity and population agglomerates within former homeland urban centres. AFRIKAANS OPSOMMING: Die voormalige tuislande is daar gestel om aparte en selfregerende state te vorm vir die swart bevolking van Suid Afrika. Hierdie was ‘n hoogte punt van die Apartheids regering se poging om aparte ontwikkeling vir verskillende rasse groepe af te dwing. Na 1994 is die state geintegreer met die res van die administratiewe areas (munisipaliteite) van Suid Afrika. Die grootliks landelike gebiede bestaan uit ‘n verskeindenheid van tipes nedersettings met verskillende vlakke van konsentrasie (agglomerasie) aangaande populasie en ekonomiese aktiwiteite. Daar is ook die algemene indruk dat die areas sukkelende ekonomieë het, grootliks afhanklik is van welsynstoelae, en met geen beduidende mate van verstedeliking nie. Die studie kyk na die ekonomiese en populasie groei, die vlak van verstedeliking en ruimtelike konsentrasie binne die voormalige tuislande gebaseer op die sensus data afkomstig van drie sensus jare (1996, 2001 en 2011), asook die proporsie persone afhanklik van welsynstoelae in die verskillende tipes nedersettings. Dit word gedoen om sodoende ‘n beter verstaan te kry van die ruimtelike ontwikkelings patrone in die areas en of dit positief bydrae tot ekonomiese groei en ontwikkeling van die voormalige tusilande. Die geweegte gemiddelde groei is bereken om die relatiewe vlak van ruimtelike konsentrasie (of verspreiding) te bepaal. Ouderdoms groeperinge en die mate van verandering binne ‘n sekere groepering is gebruik om die beweging van mense tussen plekke te bepaal. Daarna is ‘n gewone liniere regressie analise gebruik om die verwantskap tussen populasie, nedersettings patrone, en ekonomiese groei te toets op die teenwoordigheid van mense wat afhanklik is van welsynstoelae. Die resultate wys eerstens groei en toenemende konsentrasie van populasie binne nedersettings. Die dui daarop dat natuurlike populasie aanwas die tempo van uitmigrasie oorskrei. Tweedens word toenemende verstedeliking en ruimtelike konsentrasie binne stedelike gebiede van die tuislande geassosieer met ekonomiese groei. Laasgenoemde is in lyn met die teorie rondom konsentrasie (agglomerasie). Ekonomise groei in voormalige tuislande gebeur egter teen ‘n stadiger pas as in die res van SA. Laastens, alhoewel daar proporsioneel meer mense in die voormalige tuislande is wat welsysntoelae ontvang in verhouding tot die res van SA, is daar wel ‘n negatiewe korrelasie tussen die proporsie van welsynstoelaag afhanklikes en die mate van ruimtelike konsentrasie. Dit dui daarop dat in stedelike sentra in die voormalige tuislande die hoeveelheid welsynstoelaag afhanklikes afneem in verhouding tot die toename in die konsentrasie van populasie en ekonomiese aktiwiteite. Masters 2015-01-13T11:46:18Z 2016-07-31T03:00:08Z 2014-12 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/95733 en_ZA Stellenbosch University v, 38 pages ; illustrations application/pdf application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
spellingShingle Homelands (South Africa)
Bantustans -- South Africa
Agglomeration -- South Africa
Urbanization -- South Africa
Subsidies -- Social aspects -- South Africa
Economic growth -- Dynamics -- South Africa
Spatial -Quantity -- South Africa
UCTD
Ngidi, Mawande S. Lindelo
Exploring the population and economic growth dynamics in former homeland settlements between 1996 and 2011.
title Exploring the population and economic growth dynamics in former homeland settlements between 1996 and 2011.
title_full Exploring the population and economic growth dynamics in former homeland settlements between 1996 and 2011.
title_fullStr Exploring the population and economic growth dynamics in former homeland settlements between 1996 and 2011.
title_full_unstemmed Exploring the population and economic growth dynamics in former homeland settlements between 1996 and 2011.
title_short Exploring the population and economic growth dynamics in former homeland settlements between 1996 and 2011.
title_sort exploring the population and economic growth dynamics in former homeland settlements between 1996 and 2011
topic Homelands (South Africa)
Bantustans -- South Africa
Agglomeration -- South Africa
Urbanization -- South Africa
Subsidies -- Social aspects -- South Africa
Economic growth -- Dynamics -- South Africa
Spatial -Quantity -- South Africa
UCTD
url http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/95733
work_keys_str_mv AT ngidimawandeslindelo exploringthepopulationandeconomicgrowthdynamicsinformerhomelandsettlementsbetween1996and2011