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Impact of inter-provincial migration on individual labour market status : the case of Limpopo-Gauteng migration flow

Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2015.

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Main Author: Buwembo, Peter
Other Authors: Du Plessis, Danie
Format: Thesis
Language:en_ZA
Published: Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University 2015
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access_status_str Open Access
author Buwembo, Peter
author2 Du Plessis, Danie
author_browse Buwembo, Peter
Du Plessis, Danie
author_facet Du Plessis, Danie
Buwembo, Peter
author_sort Buwembo, Peter
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv Stellenbosch University
Stellenbosch University
description Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2015.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/97746
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language en_ZA
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:45:40.057Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2015
publishDateRange 2015
publishDateSort 2015
publisher Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
publisherStr Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
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source_str SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/97746 Impact of inter-provincial migration on individual labour market status : the case of Limpopo-Gauteng migration flow Buwembo, Peter Du Plessis, Danie Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences. Dept. of Geography & Environmental Studies. Internal migration Labor market Spatial systems Neo-classical migration theory Multinomial logistic regression Spatial statistics UCTD Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2015. ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Gauteng province is the biggest recipient of migrants in South Africa, both international and internal. Limpopo province is the biggest contributor of internal migrants to Gauteng contributing almost 30% of the internal migrants to Gauteng during the period 2001-2011. This study investigates the labour market outcomes in terms of employment and earnings of migrants from Limpopo to Gauteng in comparison to their counterparts who remained in Limpopo for two consecutive periods, 1996-2001 and 2001-2011. Using the neo-classical theory of migration, logistic-regression models estimate the probability for employment of migrants to Gauteng compared to their counterparts who remained in Limpopo. Secondly it also estimate the probability of a migrant being in a high or medium income group rather than low income group compared to the non-migrant. Thirdly, spatial statistical techniques are applied to determine if there are any statistically significant spatially clustering of Limpopo migrants in certain parts of Gauteng. The results show that migrants to Gauteng have better labour market outcomes compared to non-migrants who remained in Limpopo. However the gap between migrants and nonmigrants in terms of individual labour market outcomes declined between census 2001 and census 2011. The results also indicate that migrants to Gauteng are more likely to be in the high income group than in low income group compared to the non-migrants in Limpopo, although the gap between the migrants and non-migrants is declining. The results of the spatial statistical analysis confirmed a statistically significant spatial clustering of Limpopo migrants in the Tshwane metropolitan municipality and the northern parts of Ekurhuleni. AFRIKAANS OPSOMMING: Gauteng is die grootste ontvanger van beide internasionale en interne migrante in Suid- Afrika. Limpopo provinsie is die grootste enekele bron van interne migrante na Gauteng en het soveel as 30% van die interne migrante na Gauteng bygedra gedurende die tydperk 2001- 2011. Hierdie studie ondersoek die arbeidsmark uitkomste in terme van indiensnemingskoerse en inkomste vlakke van migrante uit Limpopo na Gauteng in vergelyking met hul eweknieë wat in Limpopo agtergebly het vir twee agtereenvolgende tydperke 1996-2001 en 2001-2011. Deur die gebruik van die neo-klassieke teorie van migrasie en die toepassing van logistiese regressiemodelle word die waarskynlikheid vir indiensneming van migrante na Gauteng bereken en vergelyk met hul eweknieë wat in Limpopo aangebly het. Die waarskynlikheid van migrante na Gauteng om in 'n hoë of medium inkomste groep eerder as lae inkomste groep te val word ook bereken en vergelyk met die nie-migrante in Limpopo. Ruimtelike statistiese metodes is toegepas om te bepaal of daar enige ruimtelike groeperings van Limpopo migrante in Gauteng voorkom. Die resultate toon dat migrante na Gauteng 'n beter arbeidsmark uitkoms het in vergelyking met nie-migrante in Limpopo, maar dat die gaping tussen migrante en nie-immigrante afgeneem het tussen 2001 en 2011. Die resultate toon ook dat die migrante ‘n groter waarskynlikheid het om in ‘n hoë inkomste groep te val in vergelyking met die nie-migrante, maar dat die gaping besig is om te vernou. Daar is ‘n statistiese beduidende groepering van migrante uit Limopo in die Tshwane munisipaliteit en die noordelike dele van Ekurhuleni. Masters 2015-12-14T07:42:06Z 2015-12-14T07:42:06Z 2015-12 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/97746 en_ZA Stellenbosch University Stellenbosch University xi, 53 pages : illustrations application/pdf application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
spellingShingle Internal migration
Labor market
Spatial systems
Neo-classical migration theory
Multinomial logistic regression
Spatial statistics
UCTD
Buwembo, Peter
Impact of inter-provincial migration on individual labour market status : the case of Limpopo-Gauteng migration flow
title Impact of inter-provincial migration on individual labour market status : the case of Limpopo-Gauteng migration flow
title_full Impact of inter-provincial migration on individual labour market status : the case of Limpopo-Gauteng migration flow
title_fullStr Impact of inter-provincial migration on individual labour market status : the case of Limpopo-Gauteng migration flow
title_full_unstemmed Impact of inter-provincial migration on individual labour market status : the case of Limpopo-Gauteng migration flow
title_short Impact of inter-provincial migration on individual labour market status : the case of Limpopo-Gauteng migration flow
title_sort impact of inter provincial migration on individual labour market status the case of limpopo gauteng migration flow
topic Internal migration
Labor market
Spatial systems
Neo-classical migration theory
Multinomial logistic regression
Spatial statistics
UCTD
url http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/97746
work_keys_str_mv AT buwembopeter impactofinterprovincialmigrationonindividuallabourmarketstatusthecaseoflimpopogautengmigrationflow