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Factor-based replication of hedge funds using a state space model

It has been suggested that the Kalman filter technique may be used to improve the quality of hedge fund replication, compared to existing replication techniques. This study uses the Kalman filter technique, along with three variations of the rolling-window regression technique, to create clones whic...

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Main Author: Noakes, Michael A
Other Authors: Van Rensburg, Paul
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Finance and Tax 2016
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access_status_str Open Access
author Noakes, Michael A
author2 Van Rensburg, Paul
author_browse Noakes, Michael A
Van Rensburg, Paul
author_facet Van Rensburg, Paul
Noakes, Michael A
author_sort Noakes, Michael A
collection Thesis
description It has been suggested that the Kalman filter technique may be used to improve the quality of hedge fund replication, compared to existing replication techniques. This study uses the Kalman filter technique, along with three variations of the rolling-window regression technique, to create clones which attempt to replicate the returns of various categories of hedge fund indices. These clones are created over several scenarios and are used to compare the ability of the Kalman filter and rolling-window regression techniques. The clones are constructed using South African specific asset class and investment style factors. This study finds that the Kalman filter does not provide the expected improvement in replication ability over the rolling-window regression, for the hedge fund indices analysed. The competing techniques appear to each be better suited to replicating different hedge fund index strategies and may, therefore, be used in combination. While some of the hedge fund clones offer desirable risk characteristics, they offer lower mean returns and underperform their indices in most periods. As such, the hedge fund clones constructed in this study require further refinement and are not yet equipped for use in practice.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
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license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2016
publishDateRange 2016
publishDateSort 2016
publisher Department of Finance and Tax
publisherStr Department of Finance and Tax
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/21753 Factor-based replication of hedge funds using a state space model Noakes, Michael A Van Rensburg, Paul Investment Management It has been suggested that the Kalman filter technique may be used to improve the quality of hedge fund replication, compared to existing replication techniques. This study uses the Kalman filter technique, along with three variations of the rolling-window regression technique, to create clones which attempt to replicate the returns of various categories of hedge fund indices. These clones are created over several scenarios and are used to compare the ability of the Kalman filter and rolling-window regression techniques. The clones are constructed using South African specific asset class and investment style factors. This study finds that the Kalman filter does not provide the expected improvement in replication ability over the rolling-window regression, for the hedge fund indices analysed. The competing techniques appear to each be better suited to replicating different hedge fund index strategies and may, therefore, be used in combination. While some of the hedge fund clones offer desirable risk characteristics, they offer lower mean returns and underperform their indices in most periods. As such, the hedge fund clones constructed in this study require further refinement and are not yet equipped for use in practice. 2016-09-14T12:50:50Z 2016-09-14T12:50:50Z 2016 Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/21753 eng application/pdf Department of Finance and Tax Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Investment Management
Noakes, Michael A
Factor-based replication of hedge funds using a state space model
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Factor-based replication of hedge funds using a state space model
title_full Factor-based replication of hedge funds using a state space model
title_fullStr Factor-based replication of hedge funds using a state space model
title_full_unstemmed Factor-based replication of hedge funds using a state space model
title_short Factor-based replication of hedge funds using a state space model
title_sort factor based replication of hedge funds using a state space model
topic Investment Management
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/21753
work_keys_str_mv AT noakesmichaela factorbasedreplicationofhedgefundsusingastatespacemodel