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Statistical modelling to determine the influence of vaccine dose and prior Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure on antigen-specific T cell responses

This dissertation investigates the effects of two subunit vaccines H1:IC31 and H56:IC31 as well as prior M.tb sensitization on the immune responses of three cohorts of South African adolescents and adults. The primary outcomes are frequencies of antigen-specific CD4 T cells expressing different comb...

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Main Author: Williams, Kelly
Other Authors: Little, Francesca
Format: Thesis
Language:English
ENG
Published: Department of Statistical Sciences 2025
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access_status_str Open Access
author Williams, Kelly
author2 Little, Francesca
author_browse Little, Francesca
Williams, Kelly
author_facet Little, Francesca
Williams, Kelly
author_sort Williams, Kelly
collection Thesis
description This dissertation investigates the effects of two subunit vaccines H1:IC31 and H56:IC31 as well as prior M.tb sensitization on the immune responses of three cohorts of South African adolescents and adults. The primary outcomes are frequencies of antigen-specific CD4 T cells expressing different combinations of immunological markers over three time points. Two M.tb antigens are investigated: Ag85B and ESAT-6. The dissertation compares the results produced by the standard procedures that would typically be employed in the immunology research community to investigate these aims with the results produced by employing a mixed effect modelling approach. Not only is it of interest to investigate whether the results agree, but also to investigate the difference in inference that one can make and whether the mixed effect modelling approach is able to provide greater insight into the data. Methods typically employed by the immunology community that are used in this thesis are non-parametric pair-wise tests and the data analysis pipelines mixture models for single-cell assays (MIMOSA) and combinatorial polyfunctionality analysis of single cells (COMPASS). For the mixed effect modelling approach, generalized linear mixed effect models with various hierarchical structures as well as latent variable models are employed. Results suggest that 5 μg of the vaccine induces the strongest immune response. The mixed effect modelling approach showed good potential in terms of depth of analysis and ease of interpretation, however many model assumptions were violated making inference difficult. The standard approaches where much more cumbersome to implement and interpret and resulted in significant multiple testing concerns.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language English
ENG
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:32:03.909Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher Department of Statistical Sciences
publisherStr Department of Statistical Sciences
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/41193 Statistical modelling to determine the influence of vaccine dose and prior Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure on antigen-specific T cell responses Williams, Kelly Little, Francesca Nemes, Elisa Gela , Anele Biostatistics This dissertation investigates the effects of two subunit vaccines H1:IC31 and H56:IC31 as well as prior M.tb sensitization on the immune responses of three cohorts of South African adolescents and adults. The primary outcomes are frequencies of antigen-specific CD4 T cells expressing different combinations of immunological markers over three time points. Two M.tb antigens are investigated: Ag85B and ESAT-6. The dissertation compares the results produced by the standard procedures that would typically be employed in the immunology research community to investigate these aims with the results produced by employing a mixed effect modelling approach. Not only is it of interest to investigate whether the results agree, but also to investigate the difference in inference that one can make and whether the mixed effect modelling approach is able to provide greater insight into the data. Methods typically employed by the immunology community that are used in this thesis are non-parametric pair-wise tests and the data analysis pipelines mixture models for single-cell assays (MIMOSA) and combinatorial polyfunctionality analysis of single cells (COMPASS). For the mixed effect modelling approach, generalized linear mixed effect models with various hierarchical structures as well as latent variable models are employed. Results suggest that 5 μg of the vaccine induces the strongest immune response. The mixed effect modelling approach showed good potential in terms of depth of analysis and ease of interpretation, however many model assumptions were violated making inference difficult. The standard approaches where much more cumbersome to implement and interpret and resulted in significant multiple testing concerns. 2025-03-17T09:09:07Z 2025-03-17T09:09:07Z 2024 2025-03-17T09:05:19Z Thesis / Dissertation Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/41193 en ENG application/pdf Department of Statistical Sciences Faculty of Science University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Biostatistics
Williams, Kelly
Statistical modelling to determine the influence of vaccine dose and prior Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure on antigen-specific T cell responses
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Statistical modelling to determine the influence of vaccine dose and prior Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure on antigen-specific T cell responses
title_full Statistical modelling to determine the influence of vaccine dose and prior Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure on antigen-specific T cell responses
title_fullStr Statistical modelling to determine the influence of vaccine dose and prior Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure on antigen-specific T cell responses
title_full_unstemmed Statistical modelling to determine the influence of vaccine dose and prior Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure on antigen-specific T cell responses
title_short Statistical modelling to determine the influence of vaccine dose and prior Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure on antigen-specific T cell responses
title_sort statistical modelling to determine the influence of vaccine dose and prior mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure on antigen specific t cell responses
topic Biostatistics
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/41193
work_keys_str_mv AT williamskelly statisticalmodellingtodeterminetheinfluenceofvaccinedoseandpriormycobacteriumtuberculosisexposureonantigenspecifictcellresponses