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Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika

Mini Dissertation (MA)--University of Pretoria, 2015.

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Other Authors: Schoeman, Maxi
Format: Thesis
Language:Af
Published: University of Pretoria 2016
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Schoeman, Maxi
author_browse Schoeman, Maxi
author_facet Schoeman, Maxi
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2016 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Mini Dissertation (MA)--University of Pretoria, 2015.
format Thesis
id oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/53409
institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language Af
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:40:41.342Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2016
publishDateRange 2016
publishDateSort 2016
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
record_format dspace
source_str UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/53409 Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika Schoeman, Maxi roland.henwood@up.ac.za Henwood, Roland David UCTD Mini Dissertation (MA)--University of Pretoria, 2015. The objective with this study is to determine if political risk analysis is of value for the political decision-maker and also how political risk can be identified and factored into political decision-making. Electricity supply in South Africa was used to test the assumptions and findings related to political risk and decision-making. Political risk analysis was also not used in the traditional way to determine economic, investment or business risk, but rather to determine if the methods underlying political risk analysis are of any value to political decision-makers in deciding policy and policy-actions. The value of this study lies in determining a systematic and representative body of information and practice on political risk analysis to serve as tool and guideline for political decision-making. Political risk is used in the context of political decision-making, based on informed decision-making with a sensitivity towards forecasting, anticipation and prioritising of decisions. Different approaches to political risk, focussing on effective systems functioning, early warning and traditional political risk analysis were selected. From this a framework for the analysis of policy decisions and actions related to electricity supply in South Africa was developed. The analysis determined that the negative consequences of flawed decisions can be prevented, or can at least be limited if informed decisions are taken, based on an understanding of possible future outcomes and the implications thereof. The study concludes that the analytical framework based on political risk analysis is a valuable tool to assist political decision-makers. The flexible analytical framework developed in this study provides evidence of the value and use of political risk analysis as a tool to assist political decision-makers, that will also have value in policy relevant areas such as the provision of water, youth unemployment, development and education in South Africa. Political Sciences MA Unrestricted 2016-06-27T12:17:28Z 2016-06-27T12:17:28Z 2016-04-19 2015 Mini Dissertation Henwood, RD 2015, Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika, MA Mini Dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd <http://hdl.handle.net/2263/53409> A2016 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/53409 Af © 2016 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika
title Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika
title_full Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika
title_fullStr Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika
title_full_unstemmed Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika
title_short Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika
title_sort politieke risiko analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir suid afrika
topic UCTD
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/53409